
hoever suggested that homeschooling
would increase because of the Internet, has never
stayed at home with a child. The Venn diagram of
telework and home-schooling shows two circles entirely
without connection. - Moira Gunn, Tech
Nation
hat's already happened. It's all
work. Even shopping. - Douglas Rushkoff, author/New
York University Interactive Telecommunications
Program
guess this will mean there is a reason
for four-person families to be living in all these
mini-mansions. By 2014, they will need the space so
they won't kill each other! - Clare De Cleene,
Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts
[t] already is [altering everyday family
dynamics], as Wellman and NetLab expect to find in
their current Connected Lives study. - Barry
Wellman, University of Toronto
would not be surprised to see a backlash
as family dynamics suffer from the "on,
all-the-time, syndrome." - Jan Schaffer,
J-Lab: The Institute for Interactive
Journalism
would revise and specify this
prediction: By 2014, as convenience computing brings
the internet into more moments and arenas of everyday
life, the boundaries between work and leisure will
diminish significantly. This will increase the power of
corporate interests in determining how people frame the
public and private arenas. This will also cause an
overall increase in levels of stress and fatigue in the
general workforce. - A. Markham, University of the
Virgin Islands (previously University of
Chicago)
ome of this is already happening: many
workers now are "on duty" 24/7 - responding
to emails, alerts, blackberries, and cell phones, no
matter where they may be. For the office, this may
increase productivity. For the home and family, this
adds to stress and strain. But that is because, today,
this "extra" duty usually comes on top of a
regular 40-to-50-hour stint in the office. In the
future, it will be possible for people to do their work
from home, from the beach, from the back yard - and it
will be theoretically possible to enhance home and
family that way. Again, it's not the technology
that will decide this; it is our institutions and their
rules. - Gary Bachula, Internet2
believe people will learn to understand
how their different identities - (home, work, others)
are represented online and new tools will be developed
to help people maintain healthy boundaries around work
and leisure to maximize health. - Liz Rykert, Meta
Strategies Inc.
could not more strongly agree. I think
that we are already seeing that the greatest change
that the internet enables is a fluidity of task over
space. There is a tradition in many professions
(including my own) of flexible workdays and places. I
suspect that this flexibility will increasingly affect
all forms of knowledge work, and this will be felt most
acutely in our social and familial organization. -
A. Halavais, State University of New York at
Buffalo
see it in my family every day. Sure, it
is anecdotal evidence, but it is powerful. - David
Tewksbury, University of Illinois at
Urbana-Champaign
hat we need to go along with this trend
is a new definition of quality work - judged by
outcome, not by time. Education needs a similar
redefinition. - Christine Geith, Michigan State
University
he boundaries between work and leisure
will continue to diminish, but I don't think they
will change much more from where they are today. Most
employers will want most employees on site most of the
time. - Jonathan Band, partner, Morrison &
Foerster LLP (law firm)
his has already happened. Everything is
a hobby - half work, half leisure - it's an
unstoppable trend. People forced to be offline feel
spiritless and lonely. We're there. - Susan
Crawford, policy analyst, Center for Democracy &
Technology and a fellow with the Yale Law School
Information Society Project
hile I think the move toward telework
has been slower than any one expected, the growth of
home schooling has been faster. Every time I speak
before the public, most of my questions center on the
impact of these technologies on family life. People are
concerned about and aware of these potential changes.
For the most part, they are very nervous about a world
where it is impossible to escape the office and where
they face growing competition for their children's
attention. - Harry Jenkins, MIT
any Americans (and I am as guilty of
this as anyone) work too much and carry their stress
home with them. It will become too easy for Americans
to work and play at the same time, likely leading to
some diminishing of both. - Brian Reich, internet
strategist for Mindshare Interactive
en years ago, pundits were fascinated by
a formal, official move to telecommuting -- where
offices would close down and people work from home. In
fact, we have much more flexwork: partial telecommuting
where people take work home for the evening or weekend
or stay home "to get work done" and to avoid
snowstorms (as I am doing today). The result is a
contest for attention between family and work, with
household members wondering when the telecommuter will
look up from their screens and at them. Our research
suggests that many corporate moves to telecommuting are
driven by a desire to save on real estate costs -- less
building space to occupy. On the workers' side, it
often stems from a desire to avoid the stress and time
waste of driving to work. - Barry Wellman,
University of Toronto
he increase in connectivity between
mobile devices will result in a new family dynamic that
will re-expand the notion of family to include not only
geographically displaced extended family relatives but
also unrelated family members. Around-the-clock
connection and automatic sharing of contact information
beyond the immediate family members will foster digital
tribes and a stronger sense of
''family.'' - Scott Moore, Charles
and Helen Schwab Foundation
he web is dramatically changing the way
women in my generation are able to mother and work. The
web is providing the tool that women needed to
contribute at home and in the world. - Tiffany
Shlain, Founder, The Webby Awards
y greatest hope is that telework will
hit the federal government in a big way. There's
absolutely no need to have those huge headquarters
operations located in Washington, D.C. It's an
expensive place to be, it's a limited applicant
pool for jobs, and it creates a huge ''sitting
duck'' for terrorists. Most of those operations
could function beautifully scattered throughout the
country, using workers in their homes and in telework
centers, working virtually. In fact, 3 years ago, I
moved from Washington, D.C., to Tucson, taking my job
as departmental web manager at HUD with me. While there
are many struggles - mostly overcoming people's
reluctance to work online - we have proven that this
can work quite successfully. - Candi Harrison, web
content manager, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban
Development
ork will still be work, and leisure
still will be not working. The places where they happen
- especially work - will shift. It will be possible to
move between the two more quickly, but the people who
make work will know this and raise the productivity
bar. It will still be a matter of personal choice
whether one agrees to the work contract offered or not.
The real change will be in the opportunity for
individuals (small businesses) to dictate their own
rules. The Internet causes power to disperse, in this
case, to the people from the institutions. Of course
institutions can attract power (the will of the people)
but they must do so under news rules of engagement.
- Mike Reilly, president, Hally Enterprises,
Inc.
any forces already conspire to alter
family dynamics. I don't see this as any more
powerful than the divorce rate, single
parents,two-income families, wildly fluctuating
economy, rising gap between rich and poor, etc. -
Peter W. Van Ness, Van Ness Group
his change to family dynamics can be
very positive. Just as writing skills will become as
important as they were early in American history, we
can return to the home-centered work environment. When
farms were the center of American life, families were
an integral part of the workday. As we remove
boundaries between work, personal and family life,
families can grow closer and participate more with all
aspects of life. This will impact education as well.
Separate school systems and activities all day remove
kids from the day-to-day activities and decisions about
how Mom and Dad actually pay for things. Having them
more involved will change the topics they are
interested in and the perspective they bring to the
classroom. - Mike Witherspoon, Connexxia
f course, this is already happening for
many of us. My work days begin online at 5:30 a.m.; I
am out in the countryside on my bicycle by 8 a.m.; I am
in the office by 10 a.m. both online and in
face-to-face meetings; I am out of the office by 5
p.m.; and I am back at work online from home at 7 p.m.
I teach my classes online from distant points. This
semester alone, I will have taught classes (engaging
students at least twice a day) while off at week-long
conferences in Boston, Chicago, and Orlando. - Ray
Schroeder, University of Illinois
he same segments that are today
high-volume consumers and television and media-centered
have already yielded most of their family dynamics, so
this will not likely change for them. Another small
segment that today is not highly-penetrated by media
will see their family dynamics affected. - Dan
Ness, MetaFacts
would agree in that this mirrors our own
family life. My wife and I work as consultants from
home and we blend work and kid time as both require.
However, I remember 40-60-hour-a-week jobs that
required me/us to be on site as staff. I really
don't see that changing much at any time in the
future. There are valid reasons tele-commuting has not
taken off. What might change is the ability to
see/reach family during work hours in ways that save
time and absenteeism. You might be able to email your
dry cleaner to drop your clothes in a box outside your
house. Or have a little window open on your computer to
watch your kid in daycare. But a lot of this is
happening already. - Tim Slavin,
ReachCustomersOnline.com
ome schooling is not going to expand by
an order of magnitude, because most parents don't
want to do it, and some of those that do, can't. So
the kids are going to a physical school, even if they
do a bunch of on-line stuff once the get there. And
telework might increase, but in the next decade
we're still going to see most workers leaving their
homes to go to work. They will get some hours or days
to work from home, but their primary workplace will
still be an outside location. The boundaries between
work and leisure will be more threatened by the fact
that people use their work-Internet access to do stuff
that's not work. We'll see a major crackdown on
how the Internet is used at work, now that the
technology to monitor and block non-work activities is
maturing. - Peter Eckart, Hull House
Association
And the following are from predictors who
chose to remain anonymous: [Workplaces of respondents
whose reactions are listed below Harvard University,
Internet2, Microsoft, RAND, SnapNames.com, University
of Illinois, University of Michigan, U.S.
Administration on Aging, University of Washington,
Morino Institute, University of California at Berkeley,
Media General, Carnegie Mellon, Geekcorps, University
of Minnesota, U.S. Census Bureau, Corporation for
Education Network Initiatives in California, Umbria
Communications, University of Georgia, Brandmarken
Communications, Dutch National Research and Education
Network, Resource Interactive, U.S. Department of
Housing and Urban Development, Center for Rural
Strategies and others.]
This is already happening. - Anonymous response
from dozens of participants
We live in a world that is always on. I think this
will be one of the most devastating consequences of
technology.
I agree. I just started working from home and I
can't get away.
This will be true for a significant number of people,
but only a tiny fraction of the overall
population.
The boundaries between work and leisure have already
been erased. Everyday family dynamics have already been
changed.
Computers in the home mean work in the home, and
Internet connections means demand for connection from
home. Not a future scenario, but a current one. Family
dynamics will be pushed by this - but will it be better
or worse than the change that put 2 parents in to the
workforce to make ends meet?
Over the next decade, families will need to increase
work hours dramatically in order to keep up their
standard of living. We will have moved from the
one-wage-earner family to the two-wage-earner family to
the multiple-wage-earners-with-multiple-jobs family. As
a result, families will be increasingly scheduled, to
the point where a family member will be working almost
every hour of the day.
People work for social interchange. Kids go to school
to learn to get along with their peers.
Already true today. Technology allows work time to
expand to 7 days a week.
I believe this prediction is already coming to
fruition. A survey would likely determine that most
Americans check their work email from home. Laptops are
packed with golf clubs and snorkels for family
vacations; Blackberries and cell phones are commonplace
on sidelines and in stands.
This is already underway, but the significant
difference is that unlike the disruption it often
causes today, people will better learn to live with and
adapt to this seamless world.
As the basic organizing unit of human existence, I
think it will be hard to change family dynamics. But
could the diminished boundaries between work and
leisure lead to more people choosing work that they
love?
It's happening. It is 9:39 p.m., and I am at home
but I am doing my work email.
I agree, already few people leave work at work. People
regularly check and respond to e-mail at 10 p.m. The
ability to disengage completely has nearly
evaporated.
Most people will discover that they want to get out of
the house, and be involved with peers.
The boundaries between work and leisure have already
blurred. I expect other social forces (e.g., traffic
congestion) will encourage more telework (40% of a
workweek), but I don't see it as a replacement for
face-to-face social interactions.
For some, but not for all. For others, it will simply
allow the sweatshop to be moved into the home, and at
decreased costs to the corporation.
No question about this. Major spike coming in
"Internet widows/widowers"
The Blackberry is the first wave of this ... people
are already working in meetings, hearings, church,
wherever ... After enough of this, the expectation to
show up in the office will diminish as long as you give
good email.
First of all, the effects have already happened.
Second, telework may not expand as much as technology
will allow, because there are advantages to working in
physical proximity to others.
I see a growth in work-in-cars as a means of blurring
work/commute and home. It may be that carpooling
happens because it provides people a way to work on the
way to work.
The boundaries between work and leisure have already
diminished significantly, and I'm afraid that work
is winning out.
It's hard to ever be "home." No excuse
for being offline.
Homeschooling does not necessarily equate with
technological uptake, though initial studies suggest
that homeschooling families have a slight edge on
non-homeschooling families with respect to technology
adoption. However, the loosening of the traditional
work place will allow for greater freedom for families.
I'm not sure I would say "sharply alter"
family dynamics but alter, yes.
The trend is clearly for the rest of the workforce to
join the new lifestyle. Make no mistake: this means
more work time and less leisure time. For people with
interesting jobs, this brings a more fulfilling life.
For people with jobs that seem dull to them, this
brings more cubicle misery - only now at home,
too.
I think that's already happened to a startling
degree and that backlash and demand for
personal/leisure time will result in mass turning-off
of work connectivity at home.
First thing my sweetheart does in the morning is check
his email on a Blackberry in the bed next to me. I
suspect, though maybe wrongly, that there would be more
cuddling were there no Blackberries.
It's already happened in my life and my family.
Not just the Internet, but mobile communication
(phones, messaging) and other technologies for
ubiquitous connectivity have this effect. It's
going to be a bumpy road!
The boundaries have already diminished significantly.
I think this will have a profound impact on the life of
children.
It's already a problem and it'll only worsen.
P.S., I hate my husband's Blackberry.
I agree, but I don't think it will be a negative,
just a re-ordering. For example, the traditional
thinking of work Monday thru Friday 8 to 5, which is
already largely a thing of the past will continue to
erode. But, the ability to work anywhere at anytime
might in fact allow families to live where they choose
without regard to proximity to work, which would allow
for more quality time to be spent with families.
It's already begun and I don't think it will
stop.
As someone who works at home, I can say that this is
already happening. It's a real challenge to segment
work time from family time in an
''always-on'' environment. Ultimately,
this creates the same level of unhealthy distraction as
ubiquitous usage of cell phones. We work too much in
this profit-obsessed country, and unless employers
start to trust their remote, home-based employees and
don't constantly check up on them or try to force
them into regular hours, and then demand last-minute
work to be done at night or on the weekend, the
telecommuters of the world might all be early heart
attack victims.
I'm looking forward to seeing how this affects how
Americans value work. I'm looking forward to a
culture that values leisure & family time equally,
and I think this could be a valuable
steppingstone.
I agree that family dynamics may be altered for the
digital elite. But most people, I suspect, will still
go to work and use computers sparingly. Many schools
still have a 50 percent dropout rate. Computers will
not change that dramatically.
The Industrial model of home and work divisions is
breaking down, and the cultural lag in recognizing this
is creating a fair amount of stress already. Our
current city/suburb infrastructure is predicated on the
traditional division between a home place and a work
place, and technology is bringing about change faster
than cities and suburbs can reorganize their
infrastructure. This means that those individuals in
families who must contend with these changes are having
to adapt much more quickly without the benefit of
previous generations' experience and guidance. They
are being forced into the role of teleworking pioneers.
This will get sorted out by 2024 or so, and by 2034
people will not think twice about it. But we will see a
strong generational gap, just like the gap when the
farmworkers moved into the factory, or post WWII.
As telework expands and invades the personal space,
people will revolt and begin to place boundries. We are
already seeing this trend to some extent amongst the
digital elite who are beginning to appreciate
''unconnectedness."
I agree, but I don't like it. It's hard enough
carving out the hours for family time (leisure);
you're suggesting that everything will overlap.
Everyone will have their own schedule, so I guess
quality family time would be like scheduling a meeting
with others that have busy schedules.
On this summer's family vacation, I did work
conference calls on my cell phone while my kids watched
a video with headphones in the back of the van. You can
call that a vacation, but it sure didn't feel like
one on some days.
You've got the causes wrong, but the outcome
correct. The causes are wireless personal digital
assistants such as Blackberry and the 'net itself,
not telework and home schooling, neither of which has
really caught on.
There is a rise among Gen Xers to be home more with
their kids. I think this will put increasing pressure
on employers to allow telework and alternative
schedules. If employers do not respond I think we will
see continued growth in self-employment and home-based
businesses.
Yes, it's already the case. My daughter and I even
send emails to each other while we are in the same
house; she is wirelessly connected to her laptop and I
am on a desktop computer. We like the asynchronous
convenience of this we chose to answer or not, and have
a brief exchange, remind each other of details, set up
rides to events. I find myself losing touch with
friends who do not have email.
I think this will happen sooner and in 10 years we
already see a counter movement. People are fed up by
working all the time, or being interrupted by work
during leisure time, so will claim back the free time
and divide between work and leisure. Of course there
are always people that make work out of their hobby and
think their work is their hobby.
The difference between work and leisure will continue
to exist. Family dynamics are already altered for many
given the pervasive use of the internet for chat, use
of computers for games, and DVDs for movies. Working at
home has been around for a while. The federal
government says it wants more employees to work at
home, but the reality is that the increase in
productivity expected has not materialized. In private
industry some sectors may increase work at home, but
others will not and probably can not given the nature
of their work - be it services or manufacturing.
I imagine that we will no longer ''clock in
and clock out'' of work. It will be easier for
families to schedule around personal needs, but it will
also be easier for work to insinuate itself at
home.
This is either a utopian, or an extraordinarily
pessimistic prediction depending on how you choose to
read it. While both telework and home-schooling are
increasingly enabled by online tools, that doesn't
necessarily mean that there is huge pent-up demand by
the broader society for either of these things. There
are simply too many aspects of both work and school
that require face-to-face contact. There are also
special personal and interpersonal skills required to
make either one of these things a success. It takes a
special person to offer home-schooling to their child,
or to work from home and maintain healthy relations
with remote colleagues. The internet doesn't change
that. These things will grow, but likely at a modest
rate for the foreseeable future.
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