is founder and CEO of Three
Rings, a San Francisco developer and operator of
massively multi-player online games for the
mass-market, casual audience. PUZZLE PIRATES and
BANG! HOWDY are popular Three Rings' titles.
Prior to his work with Three Rings, Daniel
consulted on game design, toiled for many years
on Middle-earth Online, and co-founded two
profitable UK internet startups, Avalon and Sense
Internet.
What is your
greatest fear for the future of networked
technologies? For a long time I thought
we might go through a long, dark tunnel, so
people would become addicted and fall into these
virtual worlds and be unable to extract
themselves … they never leave the house,
they've got a chemical toilet, they sit
there, they order food, they live on
life-support. I think that may yet happen, but
I'm actually much more optimistic on that
front than I have been. When you look at people
who are growing up with more digital technology
– I only came to computers when I was 11
– and now you've got kids who have been
online and using IM and the internet and so on
for all of their waking lives. There's a
fluidity and familiarity there that makes me
think people aren't going to fall off the
deep end in quite the way I was afraid of. Some
people will – there's no doubt. Some of
them are my best customers. I have a lot of moral
concerns there, and sort of an ambiguity about
the way I feel about my business. But my fears
are less there. There is potential for abuse, and
I think the thing I probably would be more afraid
of now is the old order and the large
corporations and big government and all these
established power structures managing to maintain
their hold on power. I think this wave inherently
breaks those structures down and will lead to a
more equitable society by its nature, but these
old powers are going to try to hold onto things,
and they may do very-very scary things to do
that. When you're a brick wall, or rather a
military-industrial machine if you'd like,
facing a wave coming towards you, you're
probably going to start firing your cannons and
try to blow holes in the wave because you
don't understand the wave and it's scary
and it's going to flood you. I'm afraid
of that. What is your most
fervent hope for the future of networked
technologies? I would like a few things.
Succinctly I would like a million flowers to
bloom. I would like a million incredible things,
and people to manifest incredible things out
there on the network. And I would like that to
translate into a complete change in human
society. I'm a believer in
radical-decentralized democracy, a kind of a
bottom-up, anarchistic in the historical
political sense way of people really making
decisions that are very base level about what
they want to do, how they want to associate, what
things they want to do and then building that up
to the sort of level at which government
decisions are made but only when those decisions
are relevant at that level. I think it's
completely inappropriate for example for a
federal government to intervene in the affairs of
an individual as concerns how they conduct
themselves on a day-to-day basis and which way
drive down the street or what-not. Decisions
should be made at the local level, they should be
as local as possible. This era we're in
– in the same way the era of mass media is
an anomaly in history – this era of mass
government, of large-scale, centrist government,
is an anomaly that will be blown away. I think
the internet makes possible – and computers
and the associations they provide – makes
possible this very radical form of instantaneous,
participatory democracy. What technology
will have the greatest impact on our everyday
lives the next 10 years? We are only at
the beginning of discovering the implications for
a globally connected, participatory, user-created
medium. We're just at the very
beginning. Looking out more
than 10 years, what development will have the
greatest impact on society? A lot of the
technological pieces are in place for the things
we've been talking about; I don't really
see there's a lot of fundamental, enabling
technologies to come in the virtual world space
and the internet. We're looking at more of
the same – faster paced and more fidelity,
but not necessarily goggles or sensory implants
at this kind of stage. I think 10 years is a bit
soon, but I do believe, as do many people, that
there is going to be a transition or a point of
inflection in the next hundred years. Being a
little pessimistic, well, conservative at the
outside. I think there will be what people like
to call the Singularity. Technology is now moving
at a pace where there is a likelihood that
somewhere between silicon, nanotech and
biotechnology we're going to see essentially
machines or other life forms we have created
become more intelligent than we are. I think
that's terrifying for the human race and
exhilarating if you believe in life in the
universe and its growth and its great potential.
I just hope I'm a good pet for the
superhumans, because that's what we're
going to be. Some people are going to change
themselves. Some people are going to want to try
to transform themselves into these superhuman
creatures. I'm not terribly interested in
that. I'm more interested in being treated
nicely by our new uber-superhuman overlords,
being fed good food and being looked after and
making kooky things and amusing myself into my
probably infinite old age. What do you think
policymakers should do to ensure a positive
future for networked technologies? Do
nothing. That would be what I'd tell them.
We're the experts and we have no idea what
the right direction to go in is. We don't
know where it's going. We're just
experimenting and finding out. So putting any
policies in place runs the risk of crippling
everything, because you have no idea what
direction it should go, what the end result
should be. Policymakers should sit back, relax,
acknowledge that the future is extremely strange,
and that weird things are going to happen, but
– you know what? – weird things
happen all the time. The world is full of weird
things happening. Occasionally stuff get in the
news about MySpace or Yahoo Chat or whatever it
is, but lots of other stuff gets in the news
about people crashing their cars into railings,
driving off cliffs and drowning in swimming
pools. None of this stuff needs more regulation.
Do nothing. |