is research director for the
Acceleration Studies Foundation. Forward-looking
writer, consultant, and project designer.
Research interests include digital worlds,
reality video games, the metaverse, mirror
worlds, public authorship, searchable cities, and
the emergence of mapspace.
What technology
will have the greatest impact on our everyday
lives the next 10 years? I'm still
bullish on Google Earth stuff. I love the book
David Gelernter wrote in the '90s called
"Mirror Worlds." He has this idea of
"topsight" in there – that the
world's just way to complex for us to
understand through textual information or vocal
– people talking to each other about stuff.
We need ways to visualize the systems of the
world, how they interact. Really the only way to
do that is to have these living, digital maps of
the planet. I think we're going to find out
an awful lot about ourselves and the way the
world really works and we can track changes in
the world visually, see where the information is
coming from, where people are going, how changes
in one place affect changes in another. I think
that kind of added transparency that comes from
being able to see and search geographically and
over time and to record our history (is
important). Extending off that idea, a lifelog
– our lives are going to become more
recorded … Your whole life (will be)
tracked and Googleable and you can see what you
do over time … Increased personal and
spatial transparency is going to be a big thing
for people … Democracy can be such
guesswork. Things are global now. It's so
hard to tell what the impacts of a thing are when
you actually do it if you don't have a way to
actually trace its effects … we can't
be very empirical about our choices until we can
visualize their impacts. Lifelogs and a more
transparent planet through advanced Google
Earth-style technology. Looking out more
than 10 years, what development will have the
greatest impact on society? In the
virtual world space I think a lot about
three-dimensional cameras, scanners. I don't
know a lot about them, but the ability to point a
camera at something and paint that scene in three
dimensions … You imagine taking a
photograph of something and instead of just
having a picture you actually have a technology
that can infer distances, and imagine taking a
photograph and then few seconds later turning
that into a gamespace, so you can walk around in
it and navigate in it. Right now they have a
model if you want to recreate the world in a
virtual world, the builder needs to stretch out
these rectangular, rectilinear shapes to recreate
the way something looks. It's a very
time-consuming process. I imagine that will
continue for a long while, but the ability to
literally point a camera or a device at a scene,
sweep it across and paint that entire thing in
three dimensions is something that we're not
even thinking about right now but 10 years from
now people will be excited about that idea.
Really easy ways to virtualize the world really
quickly. What do you think
policymakers should do to ensure a positive
future for networked technologies?
Looking at this from the perspective of Google
Earth – or a transparent map of the planet
where we have good satellite imagery and we can
kind of turn the planet Earth into a virtual
world – I think that's probably an
important international policy thing. I know some
people are kind of hesitant, some countries are
kind of reacting against Google for having
photographs of potentially sensitive things that
are visible from outer space, but I see right now
that – as far as virtual worlds and
metaverse stuff goes – one of the most
immediately useful things to people or one of the
most significant things that will have an impact
on the way we view and navigate and understand
the world will be this mirror-world element,
where we track the real world geographically
correct in real time. (We need to) make sure that
countries are willing to collaborate to kind of
share information across borders …
It's a really deep policy thing that I
don't fully understand all of the issues
around, but I think that it's really
important that people have access to view
what's actually happening on the planet
spatially. |