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Predictions Surveys

How will the accelerating impact of networked technology change our lives and our world?

Researchers at Elon University and the Pew Internet Project have conducted surveys in 2004, 2006, 2008, and 2012 of tech people, asking them to share their expectations for the future. They are offered a series of predictions with which they can choose to agree or disagree, and they are encouraged to elaborate on their remarks in written responses. The links below will lead you to data from the surveys, including each official Pew report and thousands of quotable predictions shared by survey respondents each year.


Future of the Internet VI - 2014

Eight reports tied to data from Future Survey VI will be published by Imagining the Internet and Pew Research over the course of 2014. The series, published to coincide with the 25th anniversary of the World Wide Web, is titled Digital Life in 2025. This collection of expert's opinions about the overall impact of the Internet by 2025 includes predictive statements by more than 1,600 people who shared comments about the likely future, including separate reports on: security, privacy, and civil liberties; the embedded Internet, wearables, and the Internet of Things; artificial intelligence and robotics applications; the potential for cyber attacks; the corporations most likely to succeed in 2025; looming threats to the Internet; killer apps of the future; and the overall likely future of digital life in 2025. 


Future of the Internet V - 2012

Here you will find the results from eight reports tied to data from Future Survey V, people's 2011-12 predictions about the likely future of the Internet in 2020 - imagining the future for the always-on, hyperconnected generation in their teens-to-20s by 2020; the future of  the mobile Web, HTML5 and native apps; the future of individuals' financial transactions and e-money; the future of gamification, the implementation of game mechanics for interactivity and engagement; "smart systems" and the future of efficient homes; the future of corporate responsibility in the digital age; the future influence of "Big Data"; and the future of higher education. Respondents replied to these questions in late 2011, and their answers reflect the issues at that point in time.


Future of the Internet IV - 2010

Respondents shared thousands of opinions on various Internet issues - exposing predictive statements in a qualitative and quantitative survey from late in 2009 through early 2010. Experts were asked about the Internet and the evolution of: intelligence; reading and the rendering of knowledge; identity and authentication; gadgets and applications; the core values of the Internet; institutions; the semantic Web; cloud computing; social relations; and young people's adoption of communications technologies. This site offers extra data tied to the series of Elon/Pew reports, released with details of respondents' answers to the 10 questions asked in the 2010 Elon University/Pew Internet Future of the Internet survey. (Data from the three earlier "Future of the Internet" surveys had been released in single reports. 2010 data was  released in six reports.)


Future of the Internet III - 2008

Participants in this Web-based survey filed their responses in the timespan from late in 2007 through the early weeks of 2008. This particular group of survey respondent predicted that in 2020 the mobile device will be the primary tool for connection, talk and touch interfaces will be prevalent, tolerance will not increase, IP conflicts will remain unresolved and hyperconnectivity will alter some social structures. The answers to the questions asked in this survey were compiled into one overarching report.


Future of the Internet II - 2006

Respondents participated in this Web-based survey from late in 2005 through the early weeks of 2006. They were asked to respond to issues that included: the pros and cons of pervasive, autonomous technology; the loss of privacy; the impact of virtual reality; the "flat-world" revolution; the possibility that some people living "off the grid" may protest violently against accelerating technology; and world priorities in regard to developing information and communication technologies. They shared fascinating insights that are all gathered up in a single report.


Future of the Internet I - 2004

Nearly 1,300 technology stakeholders participated in Imagining the Internet and Pew' first "Future of the Internet" study, fielded in the fall of 2004. One report shares a selection of their responses to a set of 18 questions about: institutions that are undergoing change; the future of civic engagement; embedded networks; security; and threats. Most of the respondents classified themselves as research scientists, entrepreneurs/business leaders, authors/journalists or technology developers/administrators.