The number of business e-mail messages [will] quintuple in the next decade.
Predictor: Ulrich, Walter
Prediction, in context:In a 1994 article for Wired magazine, Jacques Leslie quotes Walter Ulrich of the Electronic Messaging Association. Leslie writes: ”The growth of e-mail is undeniable. The Electronic Messaging Association, which represents 400 leading vendors of e-mail technology, estimates that between 30 and 50 million people use e-mail. Walter Ulrich, an EMA co-founder and board member for the last 11 years, says that in the business sector alone, North American users have increased from one million in 1984 to 16 million in 1993, when they sent the ample sum of 6 billion messages. Assuming that each message was 500 words long – not an unreasonable estimate … business users sent the equivalent of 10,000 manuscripts the length of ‘War and Peace’ every day of the year. And that is mere prologue, for Ulrich expects the number of business e-mail messages [will] quintuple in the next decade.”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1994
Topic of prediction: Communication
Subtopic: E-mail
Name of publication: Wired
Title, headline, chapter name: Mail Bonding
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/2.03/e-mail_pr.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Lusk, James T.