Gates Sees Computerized World
Computer makers need to put “the personal back in personal computers,” providing users with the ability to turn to a computer to accomplish routine everyday tasks the way they would a pen or pencil.
Computer makers need to put “the personal back in personal computers,” providing users with the ability to turn to a computer to accomplish routine everyday tasks the way they would a pen or pencil.
Personal computing will soon shift away from the desktop and notebook-sized machines that are common today to devices of all sizes that draw much of their power and information from advanced communications networks.
Paperless wallets. Art displayed on flat-paneled screens hanging on walls. Cars that can display documents and do face-to-face, on-the-go teleconferencing. In 10 years, they’ll all be commonplace.
At work, PCs will conduct video conferences, deliver messages and draw data from sources around the world. At home, PC-based technology will turn televisions into interactive information centers.
Imagine holding a meeting like this with an associate in Japan while you’re at the back of a taxi cab in Geneva … Video conferencing via PCs looks likely to become more commonplace; an Intel-based PC will by the second half of next year offer video conferencing over standard analog phone lines.
Want to lose your shirt? Bet against the Internet … Because its architecture ensures that it cannot be easily controlled by the government, it will become the primary source of information for Joe Couchpotato. The printed newspaper and magazine will be forced to find new roles as radio did when TV took over as the primary source of entertainment.
The next big category of applications that I foresee doesn’t even have a name yet – call it electronic conferencing. It’s the next step beyond e-mail. Electronic meetings will take place in real time and include sound and video and the ability for people to work on documents together.
The chance that an old pedarest could get the home phone number of a pre-teen is as unlikely as it is in the real, nonvirtual world. The fuss made over the threat of hopeless pedophiles using online services to meet kids ignores the reality of online chatting.
I think movies are not [the prime future use for expanded communications bandwidth]. I never thought so, and I still don’t think so, because people don’t interact with movies. On the other hand, a shopping catalog is it … The most important use is going to be to transact something over distances – basically communications applications. That’s the most important application that information technology has had.
My problem with painting this undefined thing someplace in the future is you end up waiting for this nirvana instead of following the evolutionary process that is happening today.