Millennium Prophesies
Tens of millions of people will be connected to interactive services, changing the way business and society function in terms of how they get information, communicate with other people, buy products and learn new things.
Tens of millions of people will be connected to interactive services, changing the way business and society function in terms of how they get information, communicate with other people, buy products and learn new things.
TVs will become Web browsers, and PCs will be TVs, and there will be a pitched battle over whether the TV as we know it survives. The PC could blow it away. The PC is a consumer TV and a consumer computing device.
It’s inevitable that high-bandwidth access to the Internet five years from now is going to be a commodity.
In commerce, you’re going to see an increasing emphasis of machine-to-machine interaction.
[By the year 2000,] we will have more than 100 million addresses and Web pages going over very high-bandwidth networks into the home. There will be a hybrid fiber/coax plant.
About 15 percent of education will be done on the Net. More than 10 million students are in higher education today, each averaging four courses. There are 40 million courses every semester, and 1 percent are receiving any education via analog TV or satellites.
At least 300 million people will be using the Internet by the year 2000. Also, assuming IPv6 gets going at all, and that the Internet continues to double in size every year, it might be 1999 before we’ll see 50 percent penetration of IPv6.
I don’t think that the human race has seen anything in the long run that’s going to impact it like the Web even since Henry Ford rolled the first Model T off the production line.
The heavily promoted information infrastructure addresses few social needs or business concerns. At the same time, it directly threatens precious parts of our society, including schools, libraries and social institutions. No birds sing.
Consumers are expected to spend $ 5 billion online annually by the turn of the century. “This is the golden goose of marketing. I tell consumers to tape their credit card to their monitor and go surfing.”