Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

It’s critical for online services to pay attention to the user interface; what a person sees on the screen. Graphical front ends which let users manipulate files by pointing to pictures instead of typing in arcane commands will be standard sooner rather than later.

Predictor: Murphy, Daniel

Prediction, in context:

In a 1993 article for The Wall Street Journal, Thomas E. Weber shares the words of many users and analysts of computer networks, including Daniel Murphy, a political consultant and writer in San Francisco. Weber quotes Murphy saying: ”It’s critical for online services to pay attention to the user interface; what a person sees on the screen. Graphical front ends which let users manipulate files by pointing to pictures instead of typing in arcane commands will be standard sooner rather than later. I think some of the rapid growth of America Online, a national commerical online service based in Vienna, Va., is due to their graphical interface.”

Date of prediction: November 1, 1993

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: Language/Interface/Software

Name of publication: Wall Street Journal

Title, headline, chapter name: Technology: An Electronic Roundtable: Two Dozen Users and Analysts Examine the Potential – and Shortcomings – of Networks

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Page R24 ISSN: 00999660

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney