[The Internet] will unleash a tremendous amount of creativity and innovation which will lead to capabilities we can’t even imagine today.
Predictor: Kahn, Robert E.
Prediction, in context:In a 1991 article for The New York Times, John Markoff interviews Internet pioneer Robert Kahn as he explains the nation’s planned “national data highway.” Markoff writes: ”The ‘gigabit network’ would make it possible to transmit computer data and video images among the nation’s supercomputer centers, research laboratories and universities, as well as to businesses and homes. This network of fiber-optic cables, which would completed replace existing copper lines, is viewed by many scientists and executives as both a vital research tool and an essential part of the country’s ‘information infrastructure’ for the next century … ‘[The Internet] will unleash a tremendous amount of creativity and innovation which will lead to capabilities we can’t even imagine today,’ said Robert Kahn, a scientist at the Corporation for National Research Initiatives, a Reston, Va., research organization that is coordinating consortiums of corporations, research laboratories and universities developing extremely fast computer networks.”
Biography:Robert E. (Bob) Kahn was hired by Lawrence Roberts at IPTO in 1972 to work on networking technologies. He organized a demonstration of ARPAnet between 40 machines and a Terminal Interface Processor at International Conference on Computer Communications that year, sharing the idea of the network for the first time with a group of observers from around the world. In 1973, he posed the Internet problem and began a research program at ARPA to look into it, setting four goals for design: 1) any network should be able to connect with any other; 2) there will be no central distribution or control; error recovery Ð lost packets will be retransmitted; 4) no internal changes will have to be made to a computer to connect it to the network. In 1973 he presented his basic Internet ideas with Vinton Cerf at the International Network Working Group gathering. In 1974 he published (with Cerf) a paper on Packet Network interconnection that detailed the design of a Transmission Control Program (TCP). (Pioneer/Originator.)
Date of prediction: January 1, 1991
Topic of prediction: General, Overarching Remarks
Subtopic: General
Name of publication: New York Times
Title, headline, chapter name: Transforming The Decade: 10 Critical Technologies; Fiber Optics New Networks For the Nation
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://web.lexis-nexis.com/universe/document?_m=5bb79401c78d739692fae26a59a0788a
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Kildale, Tiffany Ann