Time to Exit the Information Superhighway?
A computer-screen newspaper will never take the place of a real one read over a cup of coffee. And “networking” with role-playing electronic personalities will never replace face-to-face conversation.
A computer-screen newspaper will never take the place of a real one read over a cup of coffee. And “networking” with role-playing electronic personalities will never replace face-to-face conversation.
[Ten years from now the Internet is] going to be whatever big research system is possible … My belief is that it will be a billion-dollar business in the early 21st Century. And what is it? It’s not Web fetching, which is just straight access, it’s not library search, which is just what you’re going to see in the next years when you can put up a big collection and actually search it. It’s going to be correlation, analysis, coming in with a real problem and being able to look through many many different sources and say, this thing here and this thing here combined in this certain way solves my problem. So we’re going to talk about cross-correlation, generic community systems and spaces not networks.
It will be possible to move beyond merely searching documents, so that you’re actually handling concepts, manipulating them. You will have repositories for groups and collections too small and informal to be handled by professional indexers, not like something for ASIS members or something for Electrical Engineers, but down to the fine-grain community level.
Technology always starts out as a solution in search of a problem. No one needs this stuff yet [the Internet]. Billions of dollars will be lost in this market.
In the information age, more and more personal information will be available in an “online” environment, from health information, financial information and spending patterns to other digital data. In addition, many providers of online services will have the ability to track users’ interests, purchases and inquiries. Privacy protections should be a fundamental right of all those who travel the information superhighway.
What you’ll see in the next wave is more like organization, which is what you’re used to, being able to do a real search. Like what online retrieval systems have done in the commercial market like Dialog for a long time … in the year 2000. Things will be a lot different then, and what will actually happen is ordinary people will be able to solve real information problems themselves, and you will see more about correlating information than doing searching … As a grand statement you can say that we all will be moving from something like the Internet to something like the Interspace.
We think most people would rather subscribe to one service, where they can get everything they need through one interface. I think companies like AOL are well positioned to be the way most Americans connect to the Internet.
We are too accepting of anything new without careful thought about it.
By providing free, unlimited access, we’ll learn first-hand the value of allowing educators and students to tap the vast resources of AOL and the Internet without regard to the constraints of budget allocations or socio-economic status that have played a role in limiting participation.
Cyberspace is going to finish what Wal-Mart started. Interactive shopping via computer networks is going to put more traditional downtowns and more mom-and-pop stores out of business.