The Five Worst Predictions of the Internet Age
The Internet would have a worldwide user population of 34.9 million people by 1998.
The Internet would have a worldwide user population of 34.9 million people by 1998.
The Wintel (Windows/Intel) personal computer was “ridiculous” – too complicated to use and too expensive for the average user … Net PCs, would sell for less than $500.
All of the proprietary online services are really on a march to extinction.
There is not going to be an Internet in the year 2010, there will merely be a Net, and this Net will be provided most likely from the telephone company or something like that. And all kinds of things will plug into it for all kinds of different purposes.
[A typical online newspaper] will use the same news-judgment values as the printed newspaper, and advertising and news will be clearly separated by labels at the top of the computer screen showing where content originated.
We don’t know yet if this will become the principal mode of communication, and newspapers don’t want to be 20 years behind. On the other hand, this may be a fool’s errand, who knows?
Innovations in cyberspace may be sponsored by a computer company; travel news may be sponsored by a travel company. Magazines have done this forever, but will you lose even the integrity of the news if you do this?
In five years, everyone who is reading these words will have an e-mail address, other than the determined Luddities who also eschew the telephone and electricity. When we are all together in cyberspace we will see what the human spirit, and the basic desire to connect, can create there.
I doubt our offices will be replaced by minions working from home. The lack of meetings and personal interaction isolates workers and reduces loyalty. Nor is a house necessarily an efficient place to work, what with the constant interruptions and lack of office fixtures.
There are no simple technological solutions to social problems. There’s plenty of distrust and animosity between people who communicate perfectly well. Access to a universe of information cannot solve our problems: We will forever struggle to understand one another.